The inherent challenges of tournament pool play often result in by this stage of the ATP World Tour Finals we’re often left scratching our heads, hastily looking for a mathematical tool and attempting to calculate the brain-busting permutations of qualification. Yet tonight’s match between Alexander Zverev and Felix Auger-Aliassime, fortunately, is straightforward. It's a direct elimination: the winner earns a semi-final matchup against Carlos Alcaraz at this season-ending event; the unsuccessful competitor goes home.
Zverev is the favourite for this: the third-ranked player is the more experienced competitor, has previously won at this event previously on two instances and leads their head-to-head 6-3, winning both their previous matches on an enclosed hard court.
However … this particular court on which Felix has secured the majority of his titles, he is full of confidence after his remarkable turnaround against Ben Shelton on midweek and he took out Zverev in the US Championships early stage in late summer. Plus, conditions are faster in Turin than at Flushing Meadows, which is even more beneficial in Auger-Aliassime's benefit.
If Zverev holds back, like he was against the Italian, and Auger-Aliassime takes it to the European player with his powerful serves and bold strategy, it might very well be the young Canadian – the former prodigy who was once in line before the Spanish and Italian stars to succeed the legendary trio – who earns the questionable privilege of playing against the world No 1 on Saturday.
Play begins: at about 8.30pm local time, 7.30pm GMT.
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